The Lost Generation - Unraveling Japan's Economic Narrative and Societal Impact
6 December 2023 by Amaanullah ‐ 9 min read
Introduction:
Have you ever marveled at Japan from the outside, appreciating its robotic advancements, minimal crime rates, rich culture, and its standing as the third-largest economy globally? It’s a country synonymous with success, boasting a healthy population and globally renowned companies. However, beneath this veneer of prosperity lies a concealed narrative, largely obscured from the world’s view. Japan harbors millions who, in the wake of societal failure, find themselves isolated and excluded from jobs, marriages, and the pursuit of a normal, content life. This demographic, known as the Lost Generation, constitutes nearly 15 percent of the population, embodying the untold struggles amidst Japan’s façade of success.
Part 1: The Economic Ascension: Japan’s Miraculous Rise and Global Anxiety
While Japan’s current narrative may overshadow its past, it’s crucial to revisit the 1980s when the country stood poised as the anticipated economic superpower set to surpass the United States. The prevailing sentiment in the U.S. reflected genuine anxiety about an impending economic paradigm shift. Headlines spoke of an “economic pearl harbor,” and speculative movies like Die Hard, Rising Sun, and Blade Runner depicted a future where Japanese corporations would dominate the global landscape.
The backdrop to this anxiety was the Japanese Miracle – a testament to three consecutive decades of unprecedented economic growth. The underpinnings of this miracle lay in a unique economic system, often viewed as superior to Western models. At its core was collaboration between massive corporate cartels, known as keiretsu, and the Japanese government. These keiretsu, alliances of major corporations owning shares in each other, operated in tandem, enjoying government support in the form of substantial loans from the state-owned National Bank of Japan.
This symbiotic relationship meant these corporate behemoths had access to an almost infinite stream of capital, fueling their aggressive global expansion. Simultaneously, the government restricted foreign companies from making inroads into the Japanese market. The result was a booming Japanese stock market, with Japanese products conquering one international market after another. For the regular Japanese citizen, the path seemed clear – work hard, secure a university degree, and land a stable job at one of these corporate giants, ensuring a lifetime of employment and financial security.
The fervor around Japan’s economic ascent reached its zenith, and the narrative was one of unstoppable success. Yet, as history would reveal, the apparent certainty of Japan’s economic dominance was merely the prelude to a seismic shift – a shift that would shatter the mirage of invincibility and reveal a darker, more complex reality beneath the surface.
Part 2: Speculative Boom to Burst: Decoding the Aftermath of Japan’s Economic Bubble
As the 1980s drew to a close, Japan’s meteoric rise encountered an unforeseen twist. By 1991, Japan had successfully claimed the title of the world’s second-largest economy, trailing only behind the United States. However, the success story was hurtling toward an abrupt and tumultuous halt.
The unprecedented growth in real estate prices and the soaring values of companies listed on the stock market, integral components of Japan’s economic surge, veered into an overheated speculative frenzy. The prevailing belief was that this economic boom and asset escalation were perpetual, creating a climate where the more one invested, the greater the returns.
The National Bank of Japan continued to print and lend money liberally, leading to an environment where virtually anyone, regardless of credibility or purpose, could secure substantial loans. This unbridled optimism and overextension reached a tipping point, culminating in the bursting of the economic bubble.
In 1990, the stock market witnessed a staggering 43 percent decline, mirroring the subsequent plummet in real estate prices. The aftermath of this economic implosion had cascading effects – ordinary citizens found themselves with diminished spending power, and investor interest in Japanese companies waned.
The post-bubble era also laid bare the cracks in Japan’s economic foundation. Revelations of widespread corruption permeated Japanese business and government sectors, ranging from insider trading and stock manipulation to fraud and bribery. The liberal supply of loans had given rise to numerous zombie companies – entities that, under normal circumstances, would have succumbed to bankruptcy but managed to persist on the back of a continuous influx of cheap state-issued funds.
Japan, once hailed as an economic tiger, now faced the moniker of the “sick man of Asia.” The swift downturn marked a departure from the expected ebb and flow of global economies, signaling a unique and profound shift in Japan’s trajectory. The nation was confronted not only with economic challenges but also with the unmasking of systemic vulnerabilities that had remained obscured during the years of unbridled growth.
Part 3: Shattered Dreams: The Lost Generation and the Employment Ice Age
To understand the repercussions of Japan’s economic downturn, one must delve into the intricacies of its work and hiring culture, which can be described as exceptionally intense and unique. The corporate career trajectory in Japan commences with shushoku katsudo, an exclusive job hunting ritual undertaken by university graduates at the culmination of their studies. Notably, numerous companies, including major keiretsu conglomerates, exclusively hire fresh graduates and do so only once a year, en masse. This practice, combined with the policy of shushin koyo, or lifetime employment, instills a sense of stability but also fosters an exceedingly inflexible job market.
When the economic bubble burst in the early 1990s, this established ritual underwent a seismic shift. During the economic boom, securing at least some form of corporate job was relatively accessible. However, post-1990, a significant number of companies froze their hiring processes for almost an entire decade. The rationale behind this was to retain their existing lifelong employees during the economic crisis, resulting in a hiatus in hiring fresh graduates. When these companies eventually resumed their hiring practices in the new century, finding a job became a considerably more challenging endeavor.
The consequence of this shift was particularly harsh for a generation of individuals who had graduated in the 1990s. By the time companies resumed hiring, these individuals were no longer fresh graduates, and the companies, adhering to their traditional hiring policies, focused on recruiting recent graduates. This systemic disparity meant that a considerable portion of this generation found themselves excluded from the corporate workforce. Individuals who had merely been born at an inopportune time now faced the harsh reality of being overlooked by employers who preferred fresh faces.
This situation resulted in the creation of what is now termed the “Lost Generation.” These individuals, through no fault of their own, missed the narrow window of opportunity dictated by the rigid hiring practices prevalent in Japan during that period. Consequently, they found themselves on the sidelines of the employment landscape, destined to spend their lives navigating temporary, part-time, and low-paid jobs. The term “employment ice age” encapsulates this challenging period for the Lost Generation, a cohort left adrift in a job market that remained largely unresponsive to their predicament.
Part 4: Societal Fallout: Hikikomori and the Lingering Impact of Economic Downturn
As the economic downturn unfolded, Japan found itself contending not only with financial repercussions but also a deeply rooted societal crisis. This section examines the aftermath, honing in on the emergence of a distinctive phenomenon—Hikikomori. Originating from the original Lost Generation, Hikikomori represents a group of Japanese men who, voluntarily and drastically, sever ties with society. Trapped in a state of complete isolation, these individuals refuse to leave their homes, existing on the fringes of conventional social norms.
The narrative explores the psychological and social ramifications of Hikikomori, investigating the reasons behind their withdrawal. Many from the original Lost Generation, unable to conform to societal expectations and facing the harsh realities of economic decline, chose this path of isolation. Over time, this trend expanded, drawing in younger generations who, despite having opportunities in the job market, found the competitive landscape too overwhelming.
The article scrutinizes the staggering numbers, revealing that nearly one million individuals have become Hikikomori in Japanese society, with this social phenomenon rapidly evolving into a mainstream issue. The intricate dynamics of dependency on parents, financial struggles, and the psychological toll of isolation are dissected to shed light on the broader societal challenges.
As the Japanese government grapples with mitigating the impacts of the Lost Generation and Hikikomori, this section serves as an in-depth exploration of a societal crisis intertwined with the nation’s economic trajectory. It underscores the urgent need for comprehensive solutions that address both economic and social dimensions to pave the way for a more sustainable future.
Conclusion:
The aftermath of Japan’s economic bubble burst and the subsequent unraveling of systemic issues left an indelible mark on the nation’s trajectory. The once-touted economic miracle gave way to a sobering reality, with far-reaching consequences extending beyond financial metrics.
The Lost Generation, a poignant symbol of the collateral damage wrought by economic downturns, emerged as a significant demographic. Their exclusion from the workforce and inability to partake in the societal expectations of stable employment, family-building, and career advancement contributed to a prolonged era of economic uncertainty.
The employment ice age, a period where hiring freezes prevented those graduating in the 1990s from accessing corporate opportunities, created a stark divide in Japan’s job market. The rigid hiring practices, deeply entrenched in the Japanese work culture, exacerbated the challenges faced by the Lost Generation, reinforcing the notion that economic success in Japan was intricately tied to timing.
As the Lost Generation struggled with temporary, part-time, and low-paid jobs, the economic repercussions rippled through the broader Japanese society. The traditional demographic that fuels economic growth, individuals in their 30s and 40s, found themselves missing from the workforce, undermining the sustainability of Japan’s economic engine.
The broader societal impact extended to the phenomenon of hikikomori, where individuals chose isolation over societal integration due to the pressures and failures associated with the traditional Japanese career path. This trend, initially observed among members of the Lost Generation, transcended generational boundaries, posing a substantial challenge to Japanese society.
The Japanese government’s acknowledgment of the multifaceted issue and its attempts to address the lost generation’s challenges reflect the gravity of the situation. However, the deeply ingrained work culture and the slow economic recovery have hindered the success of these initiatives.
Looking forward, Japan grapples not only with the economic consequences of the lost decades but also with a demographic challenge. The super-aging phenomenon, exacerbated by the Lost Generation’s delayed family-building and the subsequent decline in the working-age population, poses a formidable threat to the sustainability of social support systems.
In conclusion, Japan stands at a crossroads, facing the need for systemic reforms to adapt to the evolving economic landscape and address the challenges posed by the Lost Generation. The narrative of Japan’s lost decades serves as a cautionary tale, prompting reflection on the interplay between economic policies, societal expectations, and individual aspirations in shaping the destiny of a nation.